Saint-Gobain // Universal Registration Document 2021
An efficient and responsible Group Maximize the contribution for the planet and communities
Climate scenario analysis at 2050 2.1.2.2 For strategic planning purposes, Saint-Gobain has built three qualitative climate scenarios that incorporate political, technological, economic and societal assumptions. Each scenario is associated with an increase in average temperature of between 1.5°C and 4.8°C before the end of the century. These scenarios help Business Units and the countries in which the Group operates to anticipate the impacts of climate change on their markets and their activities.
Wind of Change
The Show Might Go On
Highway to Climate Hell
Indicators
GENERAL CONTEXT Increased temperatures in 2100 compared to the pre-industrial era (1850-1900)
1.5-1.7°C
2.3-3.7°C
4.1-4.8°C
Peak global carbon dioxide emissions
Around 2020 Around 2040 Around 2100
Not in the near future
Achievement of the “Global zero carbon” objective
Around 2070 After 2100
Digital arms race, lack of cooperation Regional rivalry
3
Multilateralism and cooperation
International cooperation model MACROECONOMIC FRAMEWORK Global population (2019 = 7.7 billion) Urbanization rate (2019 = 56%) CONSTRUCTION NEEDS Sea level rise (compared to 1986-2005) Average length of drought periods
9.7 billion
9.7 billion
9.7 billion
68%
68%
68%
+0.4 meters 9 to 11 months
+0.5 meters 18 months
+0.6 meters 22 months
Number of tropical nights (compared to 1981-2000) MOBILITY % of electric cars in the vehicle fleet in 2050 (2019 = 8%)
+16 days
+28 days
+53 days
75%
60%
45%
In developed economies
-6%
-6%
-6%
In Asia In total
+22%
+22%
+22%
Annual vehicle sales (market growth in 2026 compared to 2018)
-9%
-9%
-9%
“Wind of Change” scenario SUSTAINABLE CITY Model of existing city
Amsterdam, Valencia, Dubai
Size
Medium-sized city – generally between 750,000 and 3 million inhabitants. The city center is dense. Well established public transit system, increasing investments in active modes of mobility (walking, cycling) and shared roads
Mobility
BUILDINGS AND ARCHITECTURE Buildings are generally collective buildings built around 2018 in accordance with the latest environmental regulations. ■ Household appliances are shared and efficient while excess heat is shared between connected buildings. ■ Apartments are easy to reconfigure and refurbish to optimize space. ■ Builders favor natural lighting, passive cooling and solar protection. ■ To improve their resilience, the buildings are equipped with green walls and roofs, wastewater and rainwater harvesting systems, ■ reflective materials, and the foundations are adapted to remove clays. The use of bio-sourced, reused and recycled materials is becoming widespread to mitigate the effects of climate change. Likewise, ■ energy self-production, waste sorting and composting systems are installed: innovations are thus used to optimize energy efficiency. The installation of smart meters and sensors makes it possible to monitor consumption and automatically regulate lighting, ventilation, ■ cooling and heating.
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