AFD - Universal Registration Document 2020
RISK MANAGEMENT Risk factors
Changes to AFD’s condensed balance sheet are presented below. Most of AFD’s funding is from market borrowings.
Acct 30/06/2019
Acct 31/12/2019
Acct 30/06/2020
Acct 31/12/2020
Var. balance sheet 1 year
In millions of euros TOTAL ASSETS Gross outstandings (+) accrued interest Investment portfolio Short-term cash assets (-) individual impairments
46,326 47,850 51,142 53,574
5,724 3,726
36,169
38,328
39,582
42,054
-526 174 750
-539 174 713
-549 171 687
-415 161 686
124 -13 -27
6,761
6,004
7,945
7,936
1,932
Equity stakes at cost and in companies accounted for by the equity method
865 235
873 227
858 225
1,024
151
Fixed assets
230
3
Accruals and other assets IMF-PRGF transactions
1,148
1,313
1,812
1,483
170 -343
749
758
410
415
TOTAL LIABILITIES
46,326 47,850 51,142 53,574 5,724
Borrowings from French Treasury
1,703
1,943
2,191
2,180
237
Market borrowings Current accounts
34,218
35,156
38,151
40,536
5,380
351 880
470 904
406
421 894
-49 -10
4
Managed funds and government advances
1,024 1,874 1,413 5,448
Accruals and other liabilities
1,621 1,250 5,448
1,685 1,327 5,448
1,817 1,598 5,608
132 271 160
Provisions
Provision retained earnings
Income FY
106 748
160 758
226 409
106 415
-54
IMF-PRGF transactions
-343
For information, measuring the sensitivity of the economic value of the AFD Group’s equity based on six scenarios (“increase in parallel rates”, “reduction in parallel rates”, “increase in short-term rates”, “steeping of the curve”, “flattening of the curve”) compared to the central scenario indicates that, as of 30 Ǿ September 2020, the “increase in parallel rates” is the most adverse scenario with a loss of equity value of around €809 Ǿ million. 4.1.1.5 Currency risk The AFD Group defines foreign-exchange risk as current or future risk to which its equity and its profits are exposed owing to adverse exchange rate fluctuations. The AFD Group’s exposure to foreign-exchange risk is tolerated to a marginal degree in the case of its local currency loans. No negotiating position would expose it to this risk. Exposure to this risk can increase occasionally due to internal events, such as the disbursement of small amounts of currency that are not hedged, but above all to external events, such as arrears, counterparties defaulting on a loan in a local currency or the receipt of share dividends in local currency.
As such, the AFD Group’s refinancing risk takes the form of: P its inability to fund the development of its assets and to repay commitments made at a time when financing or repayments appear; P its temporary inability to raise capital at a reasonable cost. Measures put in place by AFD to guard against refinancing risk enable it to be restricted to situations of systemic risk. 4.1.1.4 Interest rate risk The Group does not have a trading book or speculative operations portfolio. As such its interest rate risk is only linked to its credit activity and is part of its “banking book”. Interest rate risk in the banking book refers to current or future risk to which the AFD Group’s equity or profits are exposed owing to adverse fluctuations in interest rates which influence the positions of the institution’s banking book.
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2020 UNIVERSAL REGISTRATION DOCUMENT
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